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Dragon Invasion Nerfed

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  • Dragon Invasion Nerfed

    since class advancement, we do Dragon invasion each day, and kill 5 bosses. At the end of each battle, we usually have a 5 or 6 as highest dice roll, sometimes just a 4.

    Chance to have a roll of a 6 from 4 rolls is roughly 50%.
    Chance to roll an 5 or 6 is 80%.

    Now, something weird happened yesterday.
    After the first boss, we rolled a 4, the rest was 1-3.
    After the next 4 boss, we only rolled 1-3. Everyone.

    Chance to roll only 1-3 from 19 rolls: 0,003 %.

    We were kinda unlucky?

    Then I went to help a team. We killed 4 boss.
    The first 3 bosess we roll only 1-4. The last boss, the 2 players (who have been only to a few DI) rolled 5s, me and the other veteran still 1-3.

    So what do you think?

    1.) We had a reaallly bad luck (like someone being hit by a meteor 3 times in a row while walking on a street).
    2.) Something stinks. They either changed something, or you roll get "worse" after a number of DI (amount of mount hoof used?)

    I suspect that today we will continue rolling 1-3.
    My blog about how to build the strongest character in Wartune using a minimum amount of balens:

  • #2
    i guess u guys was unlucky !!! its random what u draw/roll (bad luck)
    NightBloom - Armorgames S2 Europe shown as "Armorgames S1"
    Archer Current br 226k

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by Fherlayt View Post
      Chance to have a roll of a 6 from 4 rolls is roughly 50%.
      Chance to roll an 5 or 6 is 80%.
      i am not good with statistics, but those numbers seem wrong, very wrong
      THERE IS NO JUSTICE, THERE'S JUST ME.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by daunapu View Post
        i am not good with statistics, but those numbers seem wrong, very wrong
        yeah, i agree with you lol.
        Originally posted by Wraithraiser
        Welcome to R2 forums. Where quality is nonexistent and quantity is only measured in the number of whines a single day can produce.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Fherlayt View Post
          Chance to have a roll of a 6 from 4 rolls is roughly 50%.
          Chance to roll an 5 or 6 is 80%.
          Chance to roll only 1-3 from 19 rolls: 0,003 %.
          And where are you getting these numbers from?

          Comment


          • #6
            I had decent rolls today. You were just unlucky.

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Greenfireflygirl View Post
              And where are you getting these numbers from?
              simple math.
              only mistake he made is that he assumed we are rolling fair dice
              but seriously now, if its indeed a fair die (means each number has same chance of 1/6) then his numbers look right

              Comment


              • #8
                just bad luck we cleared 5 lvls last night rolled a 6 on every boss was epic loot

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Fherlayt View Post
                  since class advancement, we do Dragon invasion each day, and kill 5 bosses. At the end of each battle, we usually have a 5 or 6 as highest dice roll, sometimes just a 4.

                  Chance to have a roll of a 6 from 4 rolls is roughly 50%.
                  Chance to roll an 5 or 6 is 80%.

                  Now, something weird happened yesterday.
                  After the first boss, we rolled a 4, the rest was 1-3.
                  After the next 4 boss, we only rolled 1-3. Everyone.

                  Chance to roll only 1-3 from 19 rolls: 0,003 %.

                  We were kinda unlucky?

                  Then I went to help a team. We killed 4 boss.
                  The first 3 bosess we roll only 1-4. The last boss, the 2 players (who have been only to a few DI) rolled 5s, me and the other veteran still 1-3.

                  So what do you think?

                  1.) We had a reaallly bad luck (like someone being hit by a meteor 3 times in a row while walking on a street).
                  2.) Something stinks. They either changed something, or you roll get "worse" after a number of DI (amount of mount hoof used?)

                  I suspect that today we will continue rolling 1-3.


                  fool


                  chance to roll a 1 is 1/6
                  chance to roll a 2 is 1/6
                  chance to roll a 3 is 1/6
                  chance to roll a 4 is 1/6
                  chance to roll a 5 is 1/6
                  chance to roll a 6 is 1/6
                  IGN/Server: Crusader Kabam 62
                  Class: Archer
                  Battle Rating: 275k (with herc br)

                  Guild: Black Lotus
                  Sylph: Hercules ★★ 46968
                  Originally posted by Wraithraiser
                  but yeah. Robo_Hobo for presidente

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    makes me wonder who failed 3rd grade..
                    [morfinnor]
                    Temple of Ibalize

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Brutal_Hobo View Post
                      fool


                      chance to roll a 1 is 1/6
                      chance to roll a 2 is 1/6
                      chance to roll a 3 is 1/6
                      chance to roll a 4 is 1/6
                      chance to roll a 5 is 1/6
                      chance to roll a 6 is 1/6
                      Fool?
                      there are 4 players so the odds change.
                      then the odds more players throw the same amount of points needs to be calculated also
                      then run the same odds over multiple events.

                      now i have a tip for u
                      1 say sorry
                      2 start google again
                      3 say sorry again

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Just bad luck, happens sometimes. My team rolls ~5-6 on all 5 bosses 90% of the time, every now and then there's a bad day with 3-4 spins taking the majority, but very rare.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by papashai View Post
                          Fool?
                          there are 4 players so the odds change.
                          then the odds more players throw the same amount of points needs to be calculated also
                          then run the same odds over multiple events.

                          now i have a tip for u
                          1 say sorry
                          2 start google again
                          3 say sorry again

                          please explain how the odds are changed

                          is there a 2/6 chance of rolling a 1?
                          no
                          there are 4 people and everyone rolls a SEPARATE DIE
                          2 people can roll the same number
                          4 people could all roll different numbers
                          its all CHANCE

                          chance to roll a 1 is 1/6
                          chance to roll a 2 is 1/6
                          chance to roll a 3 is 1/6
                          chance to roll a 4 is 1/6
                          chance to roll a 5 is 1/6
                          chance to roll a 6 is 1/6

                          by your logic you are saying, im more likely to roll a 6 if 5 other people rolled a 1,2,3,4,5 on a different die
                          IGN/Server: Crusader Kabam 62
                          Class: Archer
                          Battle Rating: 275k (with herc br)

                          Guild: Black Lotus
                          Sylph: Hercules ★★ 46968
                          Originally posted by Wraithraiser
                          but yeah. Robo_Hobo for presidente

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by Greenfireflygirl View Post
                            And where are you getting these numbers from?
                            Dice and the Laws of Probability?

                            google it and find a new world of math

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              you seem to not understand the concept

                              this is WARTUNE not math camp

                              everyone is rolling 1 dice
                              everyone is having the EXACT same odds
                              1/6
                              the highest roll is chosen
                              it is all luck
                              no % involved
                              just luck and chance
                              IGN/Server: Crusader Kabam 62
                              Class: Archer
                              Battle Rating: 275k (with herc br)

                              Guild: Black Lotus
                              Sylph: Hercules ★★ 46968
                              Originally posted by Wraithraiser
                              but yeah. Robo_Hobo for presidente

                              Comment

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