its random, when i used my att i got 3 , 4 and 5 dice, no 6. When i helped someone later on he got a 6 for all 5 boses, max rewards....Play backgammon and you'll see that it doesnt have to be rigged to throw such dices 5 times in a row, it can happen to throw 2 dice at once, 1213 times in a row and nothing above 3...happened to me
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Dragon Invasion Nerfed
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You're all wounding my soul!
The Probability, per roll, in a 4d6 System dropping the lowest 3 are as follows:
Result 1, Frequency 1, Probability 0.1%
Result 2, Frequency 15, Probability 1.2%
Result 3, Frequency 65, Probability 5.0%
Result 4, Frequency 175, Probability 13.5%
Result 5, Frequency 369, Probability 28.5%
Result 6, Frequency 671, Probability 51.8%
Moreover, if you were to clear 5 levels and at no point had a result > 3, that'd be like rolling a d20 5 times and getting a 20 each time (5% Chance). 20*20*20*20*20 = 1 in 3.2 Million odds.
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here's a nice calculator that can calculate it for you. You need to remember that you're only rolling 1 die, not 4, because someone else is rolling the other ones, so in a 1d6 calculation, this is your results:
http://anydice.com/
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Originally posted by Zorich View PostYou're all wounding my soul!
The Probability, per roll, in a 4d6 System dropping the lowest 3 are as follows:
Result 1, Frequency 1, Probability 0.1%
Result 2, Frequency 15, Probability 1.2%
Result 3, Frequency 65, Probability 5.0%
Result 4, Frequency 175, Probability 13.5%
Result 5, Frequency 369, Probability 28.5%
Result 6, Frequency 671, Probability 51.8%
Moreover, if you were to clear 5 levels and at no point had a result > 3, that'd be like rolling a d20 5 times and getting a 20 each time (5% Chance). 20*20*20*20*20 = 1 in 3.2 Million odds.
How many times have you enchanted at 90% and failed three times in a row?
How many times have you rolled those dragon invasion dice and not had someone roll a 6, given it should be happening every other time?
Are there "lucky" times on the server when you have a better chance at a better drop (astral, event box item, guild blessing drop, anything) ?
We will never know. Happy gaming!
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Originally posted by ed_lathioor View PostI think the point of these threads is that there is a suspicion that the random numbers generated by the game do not reflect true, pure, statistical outcomes.
How many times have you enchanted at 90% and failed three times in a row?
How many times have you rolled those dragon invasion dice and not had someone roll a 6, given it should be happening every other time?
Are there "lucky" times on the server when you have a better chance at a better drop (astral, event box item, guild blessing drop, anything) ?
We will never know. Happy gaming!
I guess the coin is rigged.
What people seem to fail to realize is that maintaining a pattern is MUCH more rare than deviating from it where odds are concerned. 100 Coin Flips. The odds to alternate the entire run is 1 in 2^99. In terms of odds that is: 0.00000000000000000000000000000157. You're talking that you have better odds in winning the PowerBall Lottery 3 times than having that happen. You have better odds of flipping heads 95 times out of 100 than alternating the entire series.
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