chances of hatching a rare baby pet

[Helenna]

Hi guys,

I know you must be sick and tired about posts about rare pet eggs, but I would like to clarify one thing.

A lot of people on world chat say that you should accumulate a lot of eggs (let's say 10 for angel) and open them the same day in order to have a better chance to hatch a baby. They discourage you to open an egg whenever you happen to get one (through DC or whatever).
Now, statistically speaking this reasoning is flawed. Each egg has a 10% hatch rate (let's assume) regardless of how many eggs you have hatched in the past and if this was 1 second ago or 1 week ago. So opening them all at once or one each day should not matter for the hatch rate.
Now, if the people in world chat are right, this would mean that the chance of hatching an egg increases with each failed attempt, and that this hatch rate resets every day.

If the latter scenario is true, this means that I will have to change my hatching strategy, so I would like to know once and for all: which one is it?

sorry for the extensive post, I hope you understand my concern.

best,
H.

[assfckr]

it does not change. hence the people getting it at one go. it just satisfies that hatching feeling when you have more eggs to hatch after failing the first go (i dunno bout you guys but that is how i see the many eggs theory ^^)

[MemoryLane]

Everyone has their preferred method for opening eggs. I'm not patient enough to wait until I have 10 of anything before I use it, so I open as I go. People do think it takes more eggs when you do one at a time because it's hard to keep track of how many you've used and many days can pass between tries so it seems like it takes more eggs on average.

Case in point- I tried to hatch a bone dragon. I had 8 eggs, all failed in a row. A couple days later I got 1 egg and it hatched. My firelord wasn't a spam fest either, and I know I got that in under 80 eggs, though it took almost 2 months to hatch one successfully with my buy and try method.

You are right- the success rate applies only to the egg you are trying to hatch and the number of eggs you try to hatch at one time does not increase the success rate.

[alpintar]

It matters on the account my friend she got her baby angel when she was level 7 it took her 1 try, but it has been taking me 8 tries now I think it just matters on luck
so I am not sure.

[hoss9424]

I personally feel that each egg has a chance. For example, if an angel egg has a 10% chance of hatching, then every egg has a 10% chance. Theoretically, you could pop 100 egs and still be without a pet. At the same time, you could get lucky with 1. I don't think saving up eggs is of any help whatsoever.

[nubheals]

Saving up on pet doesn't help with the chance of individual egg. However it does help with the chance of the whole "attempt", for example:
- You try to hatch 1 egg: chance to get baby pet = 10%
- You try to hatch 2 eggs at once: chance to get baby pet = 19%
- You try to hatch 5 eggs at once: chance to get baby pet = 41%
- You try to hatch 10 eggs at once: chance to get baby pet = 65%

So the more eggs you have for 1 "batch" of spamming, the higher chance that "batch" gives you the pet. Also, people often argue that failing all the eggs at once and be heart broken once is better than feeling sad 10 different times on 10 different days xD

[NouKin]

I'd like to give an answer through my experience about it that i hatch my demon egg one awhile and i got it about the eighth time. And also my teeka too around the tenth time.

[Helenna]

that's a very good point R2189etc, I didn't actually see it from that perspective. and I like your point about being heartbroken, definitely something I should take into account

thanks all for your answers and personal stories, they were all helpful!
And good luck to anyone who is trying to hatch a pet out there, because, either way, you'll definitely need it

[tigha]

why no php time? we almost 50% pinoy in this game event 1 even in seng plsss its hard every night no slleepp