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Dragon Invasion Nerfed

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  • #16
    Originally posted by Brutal_Hobo View Post
    please explain how the odds are changed

    is there a 2/6 chance of rolling a 1?
    no
    there are 4 people and everyone rolls a SEPARATE DIE
    2 people can roll the same number
    4 people could all roll different numbers
    its all CHANCE

    chance to roll a 1 is 1/6
    chance to roll a 2 is 1/6
    chance to roll a 3 is 1/6
    chance to roll a 4 is 1/6
    chance to roll a 5 is 1/6
    chance to roll a 6 is 1/6

    by your logic you are saying, im more likely to roll a 6 if 5 other people rolled a 1,2,3,4,5 on a different die
    http://puu.sh/bsgak/2f7711464e.png
    this is only calculated to throw 1 out of 6 (in the example a 6)
    Then now u want a 5 or a 6.. (or a 1 and a 2)
    then u do this 5 times in a row

    its not simple 1/6

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    • #17
      Originally posted by papashai View Post
      http://puu.sh/bsgak/2f7711464e.png
      this is only calculated to throw 1 out of 6 (in the example a 6)
      Then now u want a 5 or a 6.. (or a 1 and a 2)
      then u do this 5 times in a row

      its not simple 1/6

      i said it before

      this is wartune, NOT math camp
      IGN/Server: Crusader Kabam 62
      Class: Archer
      Battle Rating: 275k (with herc br)

      Guild: Black Lotus
      Sylph: Hercules ★★ 46968
      Originally posted by Wraithraiser
      but yeah. Robo_Hobo for presidente

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      • #18
        Originally posted by Brutal_Hobo View Post
        you seem to not understand the concept

        this is WARTUNE not math camp

        everyone is rolling 1 dice
        everyone is having the EXACT same odds
        1/6
        the highest roll is chosen
        it is all luck
        no % involved
        just luck and chance
        the chance of me giving in on this is 0%

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        • #19
          Always funny seeing math teachers playing Wartune

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          • #20
            we started Mathune?
            R2 s116 Red Realm + (s113-s119) + (s126-s129-s132-s135) + (s72-s75-s78-s84-s88-s91)

            IGN : Illyasviel
            Class : Archer
            Guild : •OneŽ•
            LvL : 80
            Sylph : Zeus, Hecate, Poseidon
            BR : over 9000!!!

            Comment


            • #21
              Originally posted by papashai View Post
              Fool?
              there are 4 players so the odds change.
              then the odds more players throw the same amount of points needs to be calculated also
              then run the same odds over multiple events.

              now i have a tip for u
              1 say sorry
              2 start google again
              3 say sorry again

              chance to roll a 6 from 1 roll is 1/6
              chance to roll a 6 from 4 rolls is 4/24

              not a rocket science, people.
              Originally posted by Wraithraiser
              Welcome to R2 forums. Where quality is nonexistent and quantity is only measured in the number of whines a single day can produce.

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              • #22
                Yeah, although wartunes math is quite different from real world math.

                OP is right, probability of rolling at least one 6 from 4 dices is more than 50%. So it seems that one thing must be different - the numbers on wartune dice doesn't have equal probability to appear (bad devs, thought nobody will notice)

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                • #23
                  Originally posted by Arlad View Post
                  chance to roll a 6 from 1 roll is 1/6
                  chance to roll a 6 from 4 rolls is 4/24

                  not a rocket science, people.
                  Ok, lol, it won't let me edit my post...

                  Chances of rolling at least one 6 from 4 dices are actually 671/1296 which gives almost 52%

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                  • #24
                    1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6? 66.67%?
                    R2 s116 Red Realm + (s113-s119) + (s126-s129-s132-s135) + (s72-s75-s78-s84-s88-s91)

                    IGN : Illyasviel
                    Class : Archer
                    Guild : •OneŽ•
                    LvL : 80
                    Sylph : Zeus, Hecate, Poseidon
                    BR : over 9000!!!

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Originally posted by lareth View Post
                      Ok, lol, it won't let me edit my post...

                      Chances of rolling at least one 6 from 4 dices are actually 671/1296 which gives almost 52%
                      hmm okay, you're right.
                      The general formula for rolling at least one 6 in n rolls is 1 - (5/6)^n.
                      so in 4 rolls it should be 1 - (5/6)^4 = 0.51774691358% chance.

                      still, there's no proof that they nerfed it. my team run DI today and we get two 6 dice out of four( one of it are two 6s, so we get +1 reward).
                      Originally posted by Wraithraiser
                      Welcome to R2 forums. Where quality is nonexistent and quantity is only measured in the number of whines a single day can produce.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Originally posted by Arlad View Post
                        hmm okay, you're right.
                        The general formula for rolling at least one 6 in n rolls is 1 - (5/6)^n.
                        so in 4 rolls it should be 1 - (5/6)^4 = 0.51774691358% chance.

                        still, there's no proof that they nerfed it. my team run DI today and we get two 6 dice out of four( one of it are two 6s, so we get +1 reward).
                        Yes, you are right, I just assumed from OP experiences that they may have lower probabilities for higher scores. I don't do DI myself, as my lvl is only 77, so I can't either confirm, or deny it.
                        We would have to observe more scores to be sure, because from what you say it seems that OP just could have a bad luck.

                        (although I wouldn't be surprised if higher scores were nerfed :P - I'm not saying they are)

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          It seems to be random chance. I generally have always seen pretty high numbers in the DIs I run. Rarely less than a 4 rolled. Your teams must have awful luck. xD
                          Archer ~ 490k+ Battle Rating ~ Level 80 ~ Main sylph gold hercules

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                          • #28
                            Doubt nerfed, I've had runs where we rolled 4 after 4 after 4, and runs where we just roll 6, and such. Just bad day.

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                            • #29
                              laws of probability vs wartune.... who will win....

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                              • #30
                                worse is that after todays Patch, DI does not pay out Vulcan Stoves as promised

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